China has actually suspended export of a few of the essential fertilizers, consisting of speciality ones such as Technical Monoammonium Phosphate (TAMP) and urea-solution items such as AdBlue, besides traditional fertilizers like di-ammonium phosphate (DAP) and urea from October 15.
Rajib Chakraborty, National President, Soluble Fertilizer Industry Association (SFIA), stated the Chinese suspension of the essential fertilizers will continue till additional notification and might extend for the next 5-6 months.
“This might result in a 10-15 percent boost in costs of fertilizers due to tight worldwide products and unpredictability in nations depending upon imports,” he stated in a declaration.
The suspension of exports of these speciality fertilizers might have some effect on India as China represent 95 percent of these essential crop input imports amounting to 2.5 lakh tonnes each year. Of this, 60-65 percent is imported throughout the rabi season.
No instant lack
Presently, need for the rabi season is anticipated to be satisfied through products protected through international trading channels, though rates are most likely to push to increase.
The specialized fertilizers consist of water-soluble fertilizers, micronutrients, nano and biostimulant versions. These are important for enhancing soil health, nutrient absorption, and the efficiency of high-value crops such as vegetables and fruits.
“There is no instant lack for the continuous rabi season (October– March), as appropriate materials have actually currently been protected by Indian traders through worldwide sources. Farmers are encouraged to prepare their fertilizer requirements early and prevent panic purchasing,” Chakraborty stated.
The SFIA president stated India is likewise checking out alternative supply sources such as South Africa, Chile, and Croatia to guarantee constant schedule. India might need to stress if the restriction extends beyond March 2026. Previously, China had actually suppressed, to name a few products, exports of speciality fertilizers. It was raised following a conference in between India’s External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on August 19, 2025.
Anticipated relocation
The choice assisted alleviate the scarcity of DAP, which India was dealing with then. China, a dominant provider of worldwide farming inputs, stopped exports of DAP because mid-2023. It stopped deliveries of specialized fertilizers to India throughout May and June this year, though exports to other countries continued.
This resulted in a sharp decrease in international supply and rose costs, impacting Indian farmers throughout the kharif sowing season. Even as it raised the limitations on exports, China had actually suggested that it will reimpose the restriction from October.
According to the Agricultural Monitor Information System (AMIS) of the Food and Agriculture Organisation, regional traders avoided purchasing DAP in the Indian domestic market in September as farm-level offtake was silenced due to high rates.
“India’s robust import need, a crucial motorist in worldwide fertilizer markets, alleviated this month (September). Increased fertilizer exports from China even more weighed on worldwide rates. The ratio of fertilizer rates relative to crop costs stays raised, in specific for phosphorus and potassium fertilizers,” AMIS stated.
Alternative sources
Trade sources stated Indian importers hurried to protect materials after China raised the curbs. On the other hand, international companies too took a look at conference India’s need.
Experts state no aid is used for these fertilizers. Over 1.5 lakh tonnes of these highly innovative fertilizers are imported in between June and December.
China fulfills 80 per cent of the import need throughout the vital June-December duration, this year Indian importers changed to alternative sources in view of the restriction. Imports of speciality fertilizers were made from Saudi Arabia, Morocco, Russia and Jordan. They were not able to bridge the demand-supply space.
Due to technological handicap, India has actually not had the ability to produce these speciality fertilizers in the house.
Released on October 21, 2025
