Global Healthcare Services Sector Outlook
There is growing consensus among healthcare providers that the current fee-for-services payment mechanism needs an overhaul. While fee-for-services is the pervasive method of billing patients, alternative processes, such as capitation and pay-for-performance are also being considered. We anticipate fee-for-services to be supplemented by capitation and pay-for-performance in the future. In addition to charging patients for screening and doctor visits, pay-for-performance can lead to higher quality of care, as other essential tasks will also be billed. It may lead to an increase in healthcare costs, with the promise that quality of care will go up.
The healthcare system is in a phase where access to capital is constantly diminishing. Big spends are rare and there is increasing uncertainty among borrowers about their ability to repay loans and funding. Healthcare institutions are either postponing large capital-intensive projects or allocating resources to specialty areas that offer a high ROI. Cash-constraints will result into an increase in mergers and acquisitions and lead to fundraising from healthcare providers. However, as only a select few will qualify for an acquisition or funding, the effects of cash-crunch will be palpable in this sector.
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Healthcare providers and insurers are aware of the rapidly increasingly population and their growing healthcare needs. The impact is more palpable in the U.S. and Japan – important markets in terms of their standing in the global healthcare market. Providers and insurers are strategizing to tap into the available opportunities in this demographic. Baby boomers around the globe are actively taking charge of their health. Smartphone remains the primary source of information-seeking for this segment. With over 70,000 websites and hundreds of apps disseminating information, providers and insurers will focus on strengthening their digital presence to effectively target this demographic.
FMI utilizes robust methodology and approach to arrive at market size and related projections. The research methodology for this report is based on 3 dimensional model. We conduct about 45-60 min duration detailed interviews with product manufacturers; apart from this we also collect market feedback from industry experts. To validate this data, we interact with senior panel members having more than 10 years of experience in relevant field. The panel members help in validating the findings and fill the gaps if any. In addition, we leverage on our existing pool of information, paid database and other valid information sources available in public domain. Usually industry interactions extend to more than 50+ interviews from market participants across the value chain.
FMI collects data from secondary sources including company annual reports, association publications, industry presentations, white papers, and company press releases apart from these we leverage over paid database subscriptions and industry magazines to collect market information and developments in exhaustive manner. After being done with desk research, detailed questionnaire and discussion guide is formulated to initiate primary research with key industry personnel; the discussion aims at collecting key insights, growth perspectives, prevalent market trends and quantitative insights including market size and competition developments. Both of these research approaches help us in arriving at base year numbers and market hypothesis.
In this phase, FMI validates the data using macro and micro economic factors. For instance, growth in electricity consumption, industry value added, other industry factors, economic performance, growth of top players and sector performance is closely studied to arrive at precise estimates and refine anomalies if any.
Data Analysis and Projection
Data analysis and projections were made based on proprietary research frameworks and statistical analysis, which was further validated from industry participants. These frameworks include Y-o-Y growth projections, macro-economic factor performance, market attractiveness analysis, key financial ratios, and others.
For public companies we capture the data from company website, annual reports, and investor presentations, paid databases. While for privately held companies, we try to gather information from the paid databases (like Factiva) and based on the information we gather from databases we estimate revenue for the companies. In addition, the team tries to establish primary contact with the companies in order to validate the assumptions or to gather quality inputs.
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